What the **** is going on here!?
http://forums.bridgebase.com/index.php?showtopic=36061
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A comprehensive guide on misplaying hands and then misanalyzing them afterward.
gnasher's explanation is the best I've seen. Treat the cards that opps knew would never matter (below the low card in dummy) as a different suit than the ones above it. So for the original post, you're evaluating the cards being 3-3 or 4-2. Those are your only options. There are 20 possible 3-3 splits and 15 4-2 splits, so the final higher card being on our right is favourite - 20 of (20+15) times.
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